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ESPN staff
The season finale has arrived. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will square off this Sunday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, for Super Bowl LVII. Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts face off in a much-anticipated battle of quarterbacks. Will Eagles receiver AJ Brown catch the game-winning touchdown, or will Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce dominate the fourth quarter? Can Haason Reddick pressure Mahomes, who is recovering from a high ankle sprain? And who will win MVP?
Ahead of the 6:30 pm ET kickoff, we asked ESPN’s analysts, writers, commentators, columnists and pundits to make their predictions for the big game. More than 70 experts so far have weighed in on the winner of Chiefs-Eagles, the final score of the game and who will earn the MVP award. We’ll add more predictions leading up to the game.
Here is how they picked, along with some breakdown of the numbers. And be sure to check out all of our Super Bowl preview content.
The Eagles have the advantage, 45-26
Of 71 experts who weighed in, the Eagles were favored by 45 of them (63.4%), while the Chiefs claimed 26 votes (36.6%).
The most common predicted final scores were 27-24 and 31-24, each picked by seven of our experts. The lowest combined total was 38 (24-14). The highest combined score was 72 (38-34). The largest margin of victory predicted was 13 points (34-21). And 62 of the experts said this game will be decided by a touchdown or less.
Betting context: Caesars Sportsbook currently favors Philadelphia by 1.5 points. Forty-one of the 71 experts have Philadelphia covering that spread, while 27 say Kansas City will cover. The over/under is 51 points at Caesars Sportsbook. Forty-four of the experts in this pool have the game going over that total, while 17 like the under.
ESPN’s Football Power Index: The FPI likes the Eagles (51%) by an average of 0.1 points.
Predicting an Eagles win (45)
Adam TeicherChiefs reporter: 27-20
Alaina GetzenbergBills reporter: 34-27
Brady HendersonSeahawks reporter: 27-26
Courtney CroninBears reporter: 30-28
Damien Woody, NFL analysts: 34-27
Dan OrlovskyNFL analyst: 30-28
David Flemingwriter: 31-22
Doug Keziriansports betting analyst: 27-17
DJ Bien-AimeTexans reporter: 30-23
Ed Werder, NFL bureau reporter: 34-27
Elizabeth Merrillwriter: 31-30
Ella Duncan“SportsCenter” anchor: 28-24
Eric WoodyardLions reporter: 27-23
Field YatesNFL analyst: 28-24
Jake TrotterBrown’s reporter: 28-27
Jenna LaineBuccaneers reporter: 34-21
Jeremy Fowlernational NFL reporter: 27-24
Joe Buck, “Monday Night Football” broadcaster: 24-20
Jordan RaananGiants reporter: 31-26
Jordan ReidNFL draft analyst: 27-24
Josh WeinfussCardinals reporter: 27-24
Katherine TerrellSaints reporter: 28-21
Kevin Negandhi“SportsCenter” anchor: 38-34
Kevin SeifertVikings reporter: 31-30
Kimberley A. MartinNFL reporter: 31-27
Matt BowenNFL analyst: 31-24
Mel Kiper Jr., NFL draft analysts: 27-23
Michael DiRoccoJaguars reporter: 31-23
Michael TannenbaumNFL analyst: 31-28
Mike ClayNFL fantasy analysts: 27-26
Mike ReissPatriots reporter: 30-24
Nick Wagoner, 49ers reporter: 26-23
Paul GutierrezRaiders reporter: 26-24
Rex RyanNFL analyst: 28-21
Rich CiminiJets reporter: 27-23
Robert Griffin IIINFL analyst: 31-27
Seth Walderanalytics writer: 24-20
Seth WickershamNFL writer: 24-23
Steve Levy“SportsCenter” anchor: 31-24
Tedy BruschiNFL analyst: 31-24
Tim Keownwriter: 24-14
Tim McManusEagles reporter: 31-24
Todd McShayNFL draft analyst: 31-24
Tristan H. CockcroftNFL fantasy analysts: 37-31
Turron DavenportTitans writer: 30-24
Predicting a Chiefs win (26)
Aaron SchatzFootball Outsiders: 28-26
Alden Gonzalezwriter: 31-24
Ben Baby, Bengals reporter: 30-21
Brooke PryorSteelers reporter: 27-24
Dan Grazianonational NFL reporter: 27-24
David NewtonPanthers reporter: 32-29
Jamison HensleyRavens reporter: 31-20
Jason ReidAndscape senior NFL writer: 34-31
Jeff DarlingtonNFL reporter: 31-24
John KimCommanders reporter: 23-20
Linda Cohn“SportsCenter” anchor: 31-27
Lindsey ThiryChargers reporter: 28-24
Louis Riddick, NFL analysts: 30-24
Marcel Louis-Jacques, Dolphins reporter: 35-28
Matt HasselbeckNFL analyst: 26-25
Matt MillerNFL draft analyst: 27-24
Michael Eaves“SportsCenter” anchor: 30-24
Michael RothsteinFalcons reporter: 31-23
Michelle BuckNFL reporter: 27-24
Mina KimesNFL analyst: 28-27
Phil Murphy“SportsCenter” anchor: 30-22
Rob DemoskyPackers reporter: 30-24
Sarah BarshopRams reporter: 27-21
Stephen HolderColts reporter: 26-23
Tim HasselbeckNFL analyst: 24-20
Todd ArcherCowboys reporter: 37-34
Super Bowl MVP
Jalen Hurts was the most common pick to win Super Bowl MVP. Thirty-three of the 71 experts who weighed in on MVP picked Hurts, 46.4% of the vote. Six of the past 10 Super Bowl MVPs have been quarterbacks.
Patrick Mahomes was the next-most-common pick with 20 votes (28.1%). Haason Reddick was picked eight times (11.3%) and Travis Kelce got six votes (8.3%). Eagles receiver AJ Brown and running back Miles Sanders also earned two votes (2.8%) each. Odds below are via Caesars Sportsbook.
Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles (+130): Alaina Getzenberg, Courtney Cronin, Damien Woody, Dan Orlovsky, DJ Bien-Aime, Doug Kezirian, Ed Werder, Elizabeth Merrill, Elle Duncan, Eric Woodyard, Field Yates, Jake Trotter, Jenna Laine, Joe Buck, Jordan Raanan, Jordan Reid , Josh Weinfuss, Katherine Terrell, Kevin Negandhi, Kevin Seifert, Kimberley A. Martin, Mel Kiper Jr., Michael DiRocco, Mike Clay, Nick Wagoner, Rex Ryan, Rich Cimini, Robert Griffin III, Seth Walder, Tedy Bruschi, Todd McShay , Tristan H. Cockcroft, Turron Davenport
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+130): Aaron Schatz, Alden Gonzalez, Ben Baby, Brooke Pryor, Dan Graziano, Jason Reid, Jeff Darlington, John Keim, Linda Cohn, Lindsey Thiry, Louis Riddick, Marcel Louis-Jacques, Matt Hasselbeck, Matt Miller, Michelle Buck, Mina Kimes, Phil Murphy, Sarah Barshop, Stephen Holder, Todd Archer
Haason Reddick, DE, Eagles (+3400): David Fleming, Matt Bowen, Michael Tannenbaum, Paul Gutierrez, Seth Wickersham, Steve Levy, Tim Keown, Tim McManus
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (+1600): David Newton, Jamison Hensley, Michael Eaves, Michael Rothstein, Rob Demovsky, Tim Hasselbeck
Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+5000): Brady Henderson, Jeremy Fowler
AJ Brown, WR, Eagles (+1800): Adam Teicher, Mike Reiss